NBA Prop Bets For Today

NBA Player Prop Bets for Today: May 16

The NBA postseason is here and I spend hours researching to find the best NBA prop bets for today. Right here, we will provide you the analysis you need to make more informed prop bets for all of your favorite bet types and some you might not have considered in the past.

I'm +108 units on these picks this year, so let's keep crushing them! Check out my favorite NBA player prop picks for tonight below and subscribe to BetQL to get NBA player prop bets from our computer model! These picks have been on fire all season long!

Points Prop Picks

I have analyzed shot charts, dove into box scores, and checked the historical statistics for everyone's favorite NBA prop bet, points. Here, I am giving away my favorite points props for tonight's games and I will let you know who I think is due for a breakout game, and which superstars are primed to light up the scoreboard? Let's find out!

Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points (+100, DraftKings)

If Edwards wants to live up to all of the comparisons of him to guys like Kobe Bryant and Michael Jordan, he’s going to need to step up and perform in this game after the Timberwolves lost three straight games and he delivered a personal dud in Game 5 with just 18 points on 5-of-15 shooting. Keep in mind that he dropped 43 points in Game 1 and 44 points in Game 4, so the blueprint is there for him to go off. Now all he needs to do is fight through double-teams, earn easy buckets at the free throw line and put his team on his back to force a Game 7. That’s easier said than done against the defending champs, but this game will ultimately be a part of his legacy, one way or the other. I’m going to put my faith (and money) behind a guy that has the “dog” mentality that’s refreshing for athletes to possess.

3-Pointer Prop Picks

I drilled down and dialed in for these three pointer props! These data-driven three-point prop picks will help you navigate tonight's NBA slate and are some of the best NBA props for tonight's games.

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 Made Threes (-166, FanDuel)

Towns has made multiple threes in six of his last seven playoff games and has accomplished the feat in four of the five games of this series, shooting a blistering 52.2% from beyond the arc overall. Having an athletic advantage over Nikola Jokic and a size advantage over Aaron Gordon has allowed KAT to get some quality looks from beyond the arc and given Minnesota’s trouble scoring the basketball, I expect him to be even more aggressive in Game 6. The T-Wolves desperately need his scoring to have a chance.

Assists Prop Picks

Find the best assist prop picks for tonight's games. I've sifted through potential assist, passing ratings, and all the data you need to cash some winning tickets.

Mike Conley Under 6.5 Assists (-148, DraftKings)

This game matters a ton to Conley, who is getting closer and closer to the end of his career. In order to stay alive and keep his title aspirations going, the Wolves need to win this game and force Game 7. The only problem: he’s dealing with an Achilles injury and is listed as questionable to play after missing Game 5. Although he got over this number in two of his four games played in this series and has averaged 7.8 dimes overall against the Nuggets, his 9.8 potential assists per game tell more of the story. In other words, his teammates have converted the opportunities that he’s set up in an unsustainably-efficient way. Given the threat of re-injury and that fact, I’m certainly going to take the under.

Rebound Prop Picks

Check out which players are going to clean the glass tonight and win some rebound prop bets. I've analyzed dozens of data points to provide you the best NBA player props for tonight. Here are some expert rebound picks.

Michael Porter Jr. Over 5.5 Rebounds (-120, BetRivers)

MPJ has been absolutely horrendous as a scorer over the last two games and has gone under this mark in three of the five games of the series, but in 36.0 minutes played (including 35 and 36 over the last two awful outings), he’s averaged 5.0 rebounds on 9.6 rebounding chances per game. That includes last game when he pulled down seven boards on 15 rebounding chances. I certainly don’t want to touch his scoring props in any way based on how he looks, but we’ve seen him impact the game positively on the glass and that’s the angle I want to exploit here at this number. Keep in mind that he averaged 7.0 per game in the regular season and is now playing equal or more minutes with a high of 40 in Game 1.

Combo Prop Picks

Check out my favorite combination prop picks for tonight's games. Find out which players have the best opportunity to win when combining props like points + rebounds + assists, double-doubles, triple-doubles and more.

Nikola Jokic To Record A Triple-Double (+250, FanDuel)

Recording a triple-double is about the only thing Joker hasn’t done yet in this series. Averaging 29.4 points, 10.4 rebounds (on 19.4 chances) and 9.2 assists (on 14.8 potential dimes), the potential has clearly been there and he’s absolutely eaten Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert alive. One victory away from the Western Conference Finals, Jokic can punch Denver’s ticket and we’ve seen him deliver historic performance after historic performance. Remember that in the closeout game against the Lakers in the first round, he went for 25 points, 20 rebounds and nine dimes against Anthony Davis!

Defense Prop Picks

Check out our favorite NBA player props when it comes to defense. Want to know who is going to get a key block or load up on steal tonight, keep reading our favorite NBA prop bets for today.

Christian Braun Over 0.5 Steals (-105, BetMGM)

Braun has seen his minutes spike over the last two games (25 and then 28) and has seen his production also improve as a result. He had two blocks and a steal last time out and he immediately shows bursts of athleticism and energy off the bench. A proven winner at every level (high school, college, NBA champion), Braun is someone that I want to get exposure to in thise closeout game.

NBA Player Props

Want the edge on tonight's NBA matchups? Look no further than BetQL's NBA player props for tonight's games. Our team of experts pour over hours of data, injury reports, and matchup trends every single day to find the most profitable prop bets.

Not only will we highlight the best and brightest stars in the league, but we will also recommend some sleeper picks that will help you maximize your profit. Stop betting with your gut and let us guide you to some winning NBA prop bets tonight.

So, before you finalize your picks, be sure to check out BetQL's NBA player prop insights and unlock the key to successful NBA betting!

Who has the Best NBA Player Prop Bets for Today?

Look no further than BetQL, as we have the best NBA player props for today!

When it comes to NBA player props, our team leaves no stone unturned. We spend countless hours dissecting advanced metrics, historical stats, and current trends to identify the most exploitable opportunities. It's not just about raw numbers – we factor in matchups, injuries, and even player motivations to uncover the most profitable NBA player props.

Throughout the regular season and playoffs, our track record of pinpointing winning plays speaks for itself. So, if you're looking for an edge in tonight's NBA player props, make sure you read and tail all of our prop bets.

The Most Popular NBA Player Props

The most popular NBA player props tend to focus on individual player performance metrics for specific games. Here's a breakdown of what's popular:

• Points: This is a classic prop, where you wager on whether a player will score over or under a set number of points in a game.
• Rebounds and Assists: Similar to points, these props focus on a player exceeding or falling short of a specific number of rebounds or assists.
• Three-Pointers Made: This prop centers on how many three-pointers a player will sink in a game.
• Points + Rebounds + Assists: This combines all three main offensive contributions, with a set total for a player's combined points, rebounds, and assists.

Tips for Betting NBA Prop Bets

• Go beyond basic stats: Look at advanced metrics like player efficiency rating (PER) or true shooting percentage (TS%) to get a more nuanced picture of a player's performance.
• Track trends: Analyze a player's recent performance - are they exceeding or falling short of their averages?
• Matchup analysis: Consider how a player might fare against their specific opponent. Are they facing a tough defender? Does their team have a blowout predicted, potentially limiting their minutes?
• Don't just chase big names: While stars often have prop bets, sometimes role players with favorable matchups can offer better value.
• Look for undervalued players: If a player has been exceeding expectations lately, their prop line might not have adjusted yet, creating a potential opportunity.

Best Sportsbooks to bet NBA Player Props

Here are the best sportsbooks to bet NBA player props:

FanDuel: FanDuel is one of the most popular sportsbooks in the US, and it offers a wide variety of NBA player props. FanDuel is also known for its competitive odds, its user-friendly interface, and its frequent odds boosts & promotions

DraftKings: DraftKings is another popular sportsbook, and it usually has the best NBA player prop odds. DraftKings is by far the most delayed when it comes to updating odds due to injuries.

BetMGM: BetMGM is a great choice for NBA prop bettors because it offers a wide variety of props and competitive odds. BetMGM is also known for its fast payouts and its loyalty program.

BetRivers: BetRivers is a good choice for NBA prop bettors because they often release NBA prop odds early and have them misplaced. They update the next morning but if you like to get your prop picks in early you can take advantage.

Caesars: Caesars is a great choice for NBA prop bettors because its loyalty program where you can get rewarded if you come back day after day to play your prop picks

Need More Picks?

At BetQL we have much more than just NBA player props we have picks and projections for all the other big name sports. From our model you can check out our MLB prop picks to find the best picks for today's games on the diamond. Or you can check out our NHL player prop picks to find some easy wins on the ice tonight.

If you want to stick to the NBA we recommend you check out the best bets from our model, picks against the spread, over under picks for tonight, and moneyline picks so you can build a winning parlay.